This is an HTML version of an attachment to the Freedom of Information request 'EFAS notifications from 10 to 14 July'.

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<h2>EFAS Informal Flood Notification*</h2>
Country(ies): <strong>Germany</strong><br>
River(s): <strong>Havel (Elbe)</strong> <br>
Predicted start of event: <strong>Saturday, 10th of July 2021 - 18:00</strong><br>
Earliest predicted peak: <strong>Sunday, 11th of July 2021 - 00:00</strong><br>
Probability to exceed a 5-year return period threshold: <strong>100 %</strong><br>
Probability to exceed a 20-year return period threshold: <strong>84 %</strong><br>
Forecast date: <strong>2021-07-10 00 UTC</strong><br>
Comment: This EFAS Flood Notification is only informal due to the model inconsistency and short forecast lead-time (&lt; 48 hours)
<strong>This is the only notification you will receive for this event!</strong> Please follow the evolution of the event on
<a href="" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EFAS</a>.
<p style="font-size: 10pt; color: #3366ff; font-weight: bold;" contenteditable="false">
<p contenteditable="false"><strong>Carolina Cantone</strong><br>
Institute: Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute<br>
tel: &#43;46114958369<br>
email: <a href="mailto:xxxxxxxx.xxxxxxx@xxxx.xx">xxxxxxxx.xxxxxxx@xxxx.xx</a> </p>
<p><em>* Formal = previously known as EFAS Flood Alert, Informal = previously known as EFAS Flood Watch.<br>
The conditions for an EFAS Flood Notification of Type: Formal/Informal can be found
<a href="" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</em></p>